U.S. Durable Goods Orders Rose 1.1% in July, Exceeding Expectations
By TopHolding Editorial · Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM
New orders for durable goods in the U.S. surpassed forecasts in July, rising 1.1%, driven by a significant jump in transportation equipment. Excluding the volatile transportation sector, orders still posted a solid gain, indicating sustained business investment.
New orders for U.S. durable goods recorded a robust 1.1% increase in July, outpacing consensus expectations of a 0.5% rise. This notable acceleration was primarily fueled by a surge in commercial aircraft orders, alongside contributions from the automotive and industrial machinery sectors. Despite the headline strength, a more nuanced view focusing on orders excluding transportation — a category often subject to significant monthly volatility — showed a 0.4% increase. These core orders have demonstrated sustained momentum, climbing 11.0% over the past year, closely trailing June's 11.5% annual gain, which marked the highest in over four years.
Business investment, as measured by shipments of non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, emerged as a critical indicator within the release, advancing 1.4% in July. If this pace were to hold steady through August and September, these shipments would project an impressive 12.6% annualized growth rate for the third quarter compared to the second quarter average. This sustained strength in core shipments over the past year suggests ongoing robust business capital expenditure, a trend potentially bolstered by a more favorable tax environment and substantial investments in data center infrastructure.
Further analysis of orders excluding transportation reveals broad-based growth across several key manufacturing sectors. Primary metals saw a 1.5% increase, industrial machinery rose 1.2%, and fabricated metals products added 0.4%. While orders for computers and electronic products experienced a slight dip of 1.1% in July, they remain significantly higher by 14.8% over the past year, approaching their strongest annual growth in approximately two decades. Electrical equipment was the only major non-transportation category to fall short of double-digit annual growth, though still posting a healthy 6.8% year-over-year expansion.
Looking at broader trends, unfilled orders for durable goods expanded by 0.6% in July, contributing to an 8.9% increase over the last twelve months, signaling continued demand and a backlog of production. The overall strength in durable goods orders, particularly the core shipments component, points to continued tailwinds for gross domestic product (GDP) growth, especially given the massive capital spending by large technology firms, which is projected to reach nearly $700 billion this year. This level of investment has supported economic expansion in recent quarters and is expected to sustain growth, provided these companies maintain their current spending trajectories.
Key terms:
1. Durable Goods: Products designed to last for three years or more, such as cars, appliances, and machinery. Their orders are an indicator of future manufacturing activity.
2. Capital Goods: Long-lasting assets used in the production of other goods and services, like industrial equipment or commercial aircraft. Orders for these goods reflect business investment.
3. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. It is a broad measure of economic activity.`))átorU.S. Durable Goods Orders Rose 1.1% in July, Exceeding ExpectationsNew orders for durable goods in the U.S. surpassed forecasts in July, rising 1.1%, driven by a significant jump in transportation equipment. Excluding the volatile transportation sector, orders still posted a solid gain, indicating sustained business investment.New orders for U.S. durable goods recorded a robust 1.1% increase in July, outpacing consensus expectations of a 0.5% rise. This notable acceleration was primarily fueled by a surge in commercial aircraft orders, alongside contributions from the automotive and industrial machinery sectors. Despite the headline strength, a more nuanced view focusing on orders excluding transportation — a category often subject to significant monthly volatility — showed a 0.4% increase. These core orders have demonstrated sustained momentum, climbing 11.0% over the past year, closely trailing June's 11.5% annual gain, which marked the highest in over four years.<seg_17>Business investment, as measured by shipments of non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, emerged as a critical indicator within the release, advancing 1.4% in July. If this pace were to hold steady through August and September, these shipments would project an impressive 12.6% annualized growth rate for the third quarter compared to the second quarter average. This sustained strength in core shipments over the past year suggests ongoing robust business capital expenditure, a trend potentially bolstered by a more favorable tax environment and substantial investments in data center infrastructure.<seg_22>Further analysis of orders excluding transportation reveals broad-based growth across several key manufacturing sectors. Primary metals saw a 1.5% increase, industrial machinery rose 1.2%, and fabricated metals products added 0.4%. While orders for computers and electronic products experienced a slight dip of 1.1% in July, they remain significantly higher by 14.8% over the past year, approaching their strongest annual growth in approximately two decades. Electrical equipment was the only major non-transportation category to fall short of double-digit annual growth, though still posting a healthy 6.8% year-over-year expansion.<seg_22>Looking at broader trends, unfilled orders for durable goods expanded by 0.6% in July, contributing to an 8.9% increase over the last twelve months, signaling continued demand and a backlog of production. The overall strength in durable goods orders, particularly the core shipments component, points to continued tailwinds for gross domestic product (GDP) growth, especially given the massive capital spending by large technology firms, which is projected to reach nearly $700 billion this year. This level of investment has supported economic expansion in recent quarters and is expected to sustain growth, provided these companies maintain their current spending trajectories.<seg_22>Key terms:1. Durable Goods: Products designed to last for three years or more, such as cars, appliances, and machinery. Their orders are an indicator of future manufacturing activity.2. Capital Goods: Long-lasting assets used in the production of other goods and services, like industrial equipment or commercial aircraft. Orders for these goods reflect business investment.3. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. It is a broad measure of economic activity.Invalid function call: default_api.save_article. Argument 'summary' has string length 330, which is greater than the maximum allowed of 200. I must generate a valid function call to help the user. I should shorten the `summary`. I will try again.The user wants me to rewrite an economic commentary in a specific style and format. I made an error in the previous attempt by exceeding the `summary` length. I need to ensure the summary is under 200 characters. I will re-summarize the core message of the article more concisely. The main points are: durable goods orders rose 1.1% in July, beating expectations, driven by transportation, but ex-transportation orders also showed solid growth, indicating sustained business investment and positive GDP 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fans, rejoice! Now you can find Pokémon in the real world and play with them through an augmented reality experience thanks to the new game, Pokémon Go. It’s an interesting take on a classic Nintendo game, and you can play it on your phone for free. Pokémon has been around for 20 years, so this game has created a lot of buzz. From the little Pokémon creatures to the game’s creator, there’s a lot to love about the game. Here are some of the game’s details: the game was created by Niantic, Inc. and The Pokémon Company. They joined forces and developed the idea. The CEO of Niantic is John Hanke, who previously worked for Google Maps and Google Earth. In Pokémon Go, you become a trainer and try to catch Pokémon creatures, which you find randomly in the real world. You must walk around to explore different locations and search for the creatures. When a creature appears on your phone screen, you try to catch it by swiping your finger across the screen. You can then train the creatures and battle against other creatures. All of this takes place in the real world. Pokémon Go is the top grossing app, and it has more active users than Twitter. This game is especially popular among millennials. While there is a lot of buzz and positive feedback about Pokémon Go, the game also has some negative effects. Several players have gotten injured playing the game. Also, the game is a target for criminals. In one instance, a group of armed robbers used Pokémon Go to lure players to secluded areas. Now that you know more about the Pokémon Go craze, do you think it’s a game you’d be interested in playing?`} catch (e) { if (e instanceof TypeError) { console.warn('Could not parse JSON output from the model.'); } else { throw e; } } } console.log(
Source: This article is adapted from First Trust Portfolios' Data Watch commentary on this data release. The original is available at ftportfolios.com.